Pascal presented this to justify his belief in God but I've used it for many difficult decisions. Here's how it would work with Ford and Kavanaugh.
Look at the consequences if each is telling the truth or lying.
1. Ford true, K lying.
2. Ford lying, K true.
1a. A yes vote, a sexual abuser makes the Supreme Court.
1b. A no vote, justice.
2a. A yes vote, justice.
2b. A no vote, K goes back to 2nd highest court in land.
So it comes down to,, which is worst, A sex abuser on Court or K loses promotion and goes back to old job? Clearly an abuser on the Court! So you vote to prevent the worst possibility, which is No.
Look at the consequences if each is telling the truth or lying.
1. Ford true, K lying.
2. Ford lying, K true.
1a. A yes vote, a sexual abuser makes the Supreme Court.
1b. A no vote, justice.
2a. A yes vote, justice.
2b. A no vote, K goes back to 2nd highest court in land.
So it comes down to,, which is worst, A sex abuser on Court or K loses promotion and goes back to old job? Clearly an abuser on the Court! So you vote to prevent the worst possibility, which is No.
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